The possibility of Iran participating in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, co-hosted by the United States, Mexico, and Canada, is now under consideration by FIFA due to escalating tensions between Iran and the United States. Iran secured its spot in the tournament after a 2-2 draw with Uzbekistan, marking their fourth consecutive appearance and seventh overall. However, recent events, including airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and missile launches, have raised concerns about Iran's participation.
FIFA faces a significant dilemma, given the open hostilities between one of the host nations and a qualified team. Precedents exist for barring countries involved in war or international conflict. For example, Russia remains suspended from FIFA competitions following their invasion of Ukraine, and Yugoslavia was banned in the 1990s due to the Balkan wars.
Several outcomes are possible. One scenario involves Iran competing under special restrictions. FIFA could arrange the group-stage draw to place Iran in a group based in Canada or Mexico, enabling Iranian fans to attend games without requiring U.S. visas. However, this workaround would not address potential issues in later rounds if Iran advances to the knockout stage, which would likely involve matches on American soil.
Another possibility is that FIFA suspends Iran before the tournament. If military activity escalates, particularly with further missile exchanges or if U.S. personnel are targeted, FIFA could act swiftly to remove Iran from the draw. This would open the door for a replacement team from Asia or another confederation. However, this decision could have severe diplomatic consequences, potentially straining FIFA's relations with Iran, other regional powers, and fans across the Muslim world.
Even if Iran is cleared to play, they might face restrictions. The United States has existing travel restrictions that apply to citizens of several countries, including Iran. While exemptions might be made for players and officials, ordinary Iranian fans could be barred from entering the country. This means Iran's matches held on U.S. soil could take place without their supporters in the stands.
The situation is further complicated by the involvement of political figures. Some reports suggest that FIFA's president has been accommodating to certain demands, which could influence decisions regarding the participation of both the U.S. and Iran.
Despite the challenges, there remains hope that the conflict will de-escalate, allowing Iran to participate in the tournament. Some recall the symbolic USA-Iran match at the 1998 World Cup, raising hopes for dialogue through sport. However, the current climate remains tense and uncertain. FIFA's decision will need to balance geopolitical realities, safety concerns, and the desire to maintain the integrity and inclusivity of the World Cup.
