The Toronto Maple Leafs' defensive performance in the 2025-26 season has been a subject of much discussion, with the spotlight firmly fixed on veteran players Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson (OEL). As the team navigates the season, the play of these key defensemen is under scrutiny, especially regarding their impact on the team's overall success.

Morgan Rielly, a long-tenured Maple Leaf, remains a central figure on the team's blue line. However, recent reports suggest that the Maple Leafs might consider trading Rielly if the team's performance doesn't improve. This possibility, though not a certainty due to Rielly's no-move clause and his reported desire to stay in Toronto, highlights the pressure on the team to achieve a higher level of play. Rielly's offensive capabilities and role as a power-play quarterback are undeniable, but consistency and overall defensive impact are key factors in evaluating his future with the team.

Oliver Ekman-Larsson, brought in to bolster the defense and contribute offensively, has also been a focal point. Initially, there were some doubts about his signing, but he has proven to be a valuable asset. The decision to move Rielly off the top power-play unit in favor of Ekman-Larsson earlier in the season underscored the team's need for a shake-up and a different approach on the man advantage. While Ekman-Larsson has shown flashes of his former brilliance, his defensive play and ability to contribute consistently are crucial for the team's stability.

Examining the underlying numbers, such as Expected Goals (xG) and High Danger Scoring Chances (HDSC), provides a clearer picture of the Leafs' defensive performance. These metrics help to filter out the "noise" from special teams, shooting luck, and goaltending, revealing who is driving play and who is struggling.

Beyond Rielly and Ekman-Larsson, other defensemen play important roles. Jake McCabe, Chris Tanev and Brandon Carlo contribute to the team's defensive depth. The Leafs' defensive pairings have seen some changes, with Rielly often paired with Ekman-Larsson, and other combinations including Simon Benoit with Jake McCabe.

The Maple Leafs' defensive situation is complex. While individual talent is present, the team's overall defensive structure, consistency, and ability to limit high-danger scoring chances will determine their success. As the season progresses, the performances of Rielly, Ekman-Larsson, and the entire defensive corps will be critical in shaping the Maple Leafs' fate.