The Milwaukee Brewers are currently navigating a season filled with both promise and uncertainty as they approach the All-Star break in mid-July 2025. Fan sentiment, as gauged by the latest SB Nation Reacts survey, reflects this mixed outlook, questioning whether the Brewers will hold a playoff position as they head into the All-Star break, which runs from July 14-17.
As of early June, the Brewers hold a 34-29 record, placing them third in the NL Central. While they are chasing the division-leading Cubs and Cardinals, they are also in the thick of the Wild Card race, sitting just a game behind the Giants and Cardinals. This places them in a precarious position where a strong run could solidify their playoff standing, while a slump could see them fall further behind.
The team's performance has been a tale of two months. After a sluggish start to May, where the offense struggled to produce, the Brewers have rebounded impressively in recent weeks. Their bats have come alive during their recent eight-game win streak, averaging over six runs per game while allowing just over three. This surge has instilled a renewed sense of optimism among fans and analysts alike.
However, pre-season projections painted a less rosy picture. Several analyses, including those from Baseball Prospectus (PECOTA) and ZiPS, predicted a sub-.500 season for the Brewers, forecasting them to finish second in the NL Central with approximately 80-84 wins. These projections cited the losses of key players like Willy Adames and Devin Williams as significant factors that would hinder the team's ability to replicate their success from previous years. Notably, going into the season, the Brewers had a 26.1% chance to make the postseason.
Despite these pessimistic forecasts, the Brewers have consistently defied expectations in recent years. They have exceeded win projections in five of the last six seasons, demonstrating a resilience and ability to perform beyond what models predict. Manager Pat Murphy will try to keep the team focused on the field.
Currently, playoff odds calculators give the Brewers a 44.5% chance of making the postseason, including a 3.9% chance to win the division. FanDuel Sportsbook offers +235 odds for the Brewers to make the playoffs, and -300 odds to miss the postseason for the first time since 2022.
The Brewers' success in the coming weeks will hinge on several factors. Continued offensive production from key players like William Contreras, Jackson Chourio, and Christian Yelich is essential. The starting pitching needs to remain consistent, and the bullpen must maintain its effectiveness in high-pressure situations.
The schedule leading up to the All-Star break includes series against divisional rivals such as the Cubs, Cardinals, and Pirates, as well as interleague matchups. These games will provide a crucial test of the Brewers' mettle and offer opportunities to gain ground in both the division and Wild Card standings.
Ultimately, whether the Brewers are in a playoff position at the All-Star break remains uncertain. The team has demonstrated the potential to compete with the best in the National League, but they must overcome lingering doubts and maintain their recent surge in performance. As the season unfolds, Brewers fans will be closely watching to see if their team can once again defy expectations and secure a coveted spot in the postseason.
