The New York Islanders find themselves in a coveted position heading into the 2025 NHL Entry Draft: holding the first overall pick. With this pick, they have the opportunity to select a franchise-altering player, and the decision seems to be primarily between two highly touted prospects: defenseman Matthew Schaefer and forward Michael Misa. While both players possess immense potential, they offer different skill sets and varying degrees of risk and reward.
Michael Misa: The Dynamic Forward
Misa has been a highly regarded prospect for years, earning exceptional status in the CHL. This season, he exploded offensively, leading the OHL with a staggering 134 points (62 goals, 72 assists) in just 65 games for the Saginaw Spirit.
Ceiling: Misa's offensive upside is undeniable. Some scouts see Tim Stutzle potential in Misa, envisioning him as a dynamic, point-per-game center who elevates the play of those around him. If Misa reaches his ceiling, the Islanders would have a true top-line center to build their offense around for years to come. Floor: Even if Misa doesn't become a superstar, his high hockey IQ, strong work ethic, and two-way capabilities suggest he could still be a valuable second-line center who contributes in all three zones. His floor is considered very high due to his well-rounded game. Some scouts have noted that Misa appears to be the most NHL-ready player in this draft class. Middle Ground: A realistic outcome for Misa is a consistent, top-six forward who provides a reliable offensive presence and contributes on both special teams units.
Matthew Schaefer: The Two-Way Defenseman
Schaefer is widely considered the top defenseman in the draft, possessing a rare combination of size, skating ability, and offensive prowess. Some scouts believe Schaefer has the potential to become a Cale Makar or Quinn Hughes-type defenseman. However, his draft year was hampered by injuries, limiting him to just 17 OHL games.
Ceiling: If Schaefer reaches his full potential, the Islanders could have a true number-one defenseman who excels in all situations. He projects as a top-pairing defenseman with exceptional skating and offensive instincts. Floor: Schaefer's limited playing time this season creates some uncertainty. While his offensive talent is evident, some scouts question whether his defensive game is as polished. If he doesn't develop into a top-pairing defenseman, he could still be a valuable middle-pairing defenseman who contributes on the power play. Middle Ground: A reasonable expectation for Schaefer is a solid top-four defenseman who can log significant minutes and contribute offensively while playing a responsible defensive game.
The Islanders' Dilemma
The Islanders' general manager, Mathieu Darche, has a tough decision ahead. While Schaefer is the consensus top-rated prospect, Misa's offensive explosion this season has made him a serious contender for the first overall pick. Ultimately, the Islanders' choice will depend on their organizational needs and their appetite for risk. If they prioritize immediate impact and offensive firepower, Misa may be the more appealing option. If they are willing to be patient and bet on long-term potential, Schaefer could be the better pick. Darche has kept his cards close to his vest throughout the draft process. He has stated that he would be "shocked" if the Islanders trade the pick, suggesting that they are committed to selecting a player who can be a cornerstone of their franchise for years to come. The Islanders have reportedly spent a significant amount of time with both Schaefer and Misa.
