Analyst Asks Whether Father Time is Closing in on Connor McDavid
The hockey world is abuzz with a question that was once considered unthinkable: Is Connor McDavid, the Edmonton Oilers' captain and arguably the best player in the world, beginning to decline? The question isn't triggered by a sudden, dramatic drop-off, but rather by a collection of subtle shifts in his performance that have analysts and fans alike pondering the inevitable impact of age and wear on even the most exceptional athletes.
McDavid, who will turn 29 next month, has enjoyed a career that most players can only dream of. Drafted first overall by the Oilers in 2015, he has led the team to multiple playoff appearances, including a Stanley Cup Final appearance in 2024. Individually, he has collected numerous accolades, including three Hart Trophies. His blistering speed, unparalleled stickhandling, and exceptional hockey IQ have made him a dominant force, leaving defenders bewildered and goalies helpless. Through 11 seasons, he has amassed 375 goals and 749 assists for a total of 1124 points in 741 games.
However, some observers suggest that the current season is witnessing a slightly different version of McDavid. While his overall point production remains high, some statistics point to a potential shift. In the 2024-25 season, McDavid posted 26 goals and 74 assists in 67 games. While still a productive season, it was a noticeable dip compared to his 64-goal, 153-point performance in the 2022-23 season. One area of concern is his shooting accuracy, which some analysts have described as his "worst... by far".
Allan Mitchell of The Athletic noted that McDavid's performance dips when he's not playing on a line with Leon Draisaitl. Mitchell suggests that McDavid's best years may be behind him, especially if his primary linemates, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Zach Hyman, aren't scoring at their usual rates.
Several factors could be contributing to these observations. Some speculate that McDavid might be dealing with a lingering injury affecting his shot. Others point to the accumulated fatigue from deep playoff runs and international tournaments. The increased defensive attention he commands from opposing teams could also play a role, forcing him to adapt his game and prioritize playmaking over goal-scoring. It's also possible that, as he matures, McDavid is evolving his playing style, focusing more on a balanced approach between offense and defense.
Despite these concerns, it's crucial to maintain perspective. McDavid remains an elite player capable of game-changing performances. As recently as December 5, 2025, McDavid scored his 13th career hat trick in a 9-4 victory over the Seattle Kraken. This performance showcased his enduring skill and determination, reminding everyone of his ability to take over a game. Following the hat trick, McDavid has 14 goals this season and is on pace for 41 while also projected to post 120 points.
The narrative surrounding McDavid's "decline" might be premature. It is more likely a reflection of the incredibly high standards he has set for himself. As he enters his late twenties, he may simply be transitioning into a new phase of his career, one where his experience, vision, and leadership become even more valuable assets. Whether "Father Time" is truly catching up or McDavid is merely evolving remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: Connor McDavid will continue to be a player to watch.
