Recent reports indicate that Max Verstappen is open to a potential switch to Mercedes for the 2026 Formula 1 season. This comes amid growing speculation about his future with Red Bull, fueled by the team's recent performance dip and rumored clauses in his contract that could allow him to leave prematurely.
Verstappen's current contract with Red Bull runs through 2028, and is worth an estimated $275 million over five years. However, it is believed to contain performance-based exit clauses. While the exact details of these clauses are not publicly known, some reports suggest that Verstappen could be allowed to leave if he is not within the top three or four in the drivers' championship standings by a certain point in the season. Currently, Verstappen is third in the championship, 61 points behind Oscar Piastri.
Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff has long been an admirer of Verstappen and has openly expressed his desire to bring him to the team. Sky Sports in Italy reports that Verstappen has already indicated his willingness to join Mercedes, and negotiations are ongoing. George Russell, a current Mercedes driver, revealed that discussions with Verstappen have delayed negotiations for his own contract extension. Wolff has confirmed these "conversations behind closed doors". He also stated that a decision regarding Mercedes' 2026 driver lineup would be made before the summer break in August.
However, some members of the Mercedes board reportedly have reservations about signing Verstappen, citing concerns about the regulations coming into play in 2026. It is also speculated that signing Verstappen could be risky for Wolff, potentially creating a team that revolves around one driver, similar to the current situation at Red Bull.
Red Bull is downplaying the rumors, with advisor Helmut Marko asserting that there is "currently no reason to worry about any sort of exit" and that Verstappen has a contract through 2028. Team principal Christian Horner dismissed the reports of Verstappen joining Mercedes as "noise".
Despite Red Bull's attempts to quell the speculation, the possibility of Verstappen leaving remains a distinct possibility. Former Red Bull driver Robert Doornbos has claimed that Verstappen can leave if Red Bull is not in the top three in the constructors' championship.
If Verstappen were to move to Mercedes, it would have significant consequences for the driver market. George Russell or Kimi Antonelli would likely need to find a new team. Red Bull would then be in search of a replacement for their star driver. Russell has been linked to Aston Martin. Other drivers who could be in contention for a Red Bull seat include Fernando Alonso and Charles Leclerc.
The potential for Verstappen to switch to Mercedes is influenced by the new power unit regulations coming in 2026. Mercedes is rumored to be in a favorable position regarding the development of these new engines. Joining a team with a strong power unit could be critical for Verstappen's continued success.
Ultimately, Verstappen's decision may hinge on Red Bull's ability to improve its performance and address any concerns he may have. He has expressed a desire to focus on his job and enjoy his life. However, the allure of Mercedes and the opportunity to potentially drive for a team with a strong future could prove to be a compelling option for the four-time world champion.
