The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals faced off in the third game of their four-game series today, June 14, 2025, at American Family Field. Entering the game, the Brewers held a 38-33 record, sitting second in the NL Central, while the Cardinals were 36-34, in third place in the division.

Milwaukee has won the first two games of the series. On June 12th, the Brewers shut out the Cardinals 6-0, highlighted by a strong MLB debut from Jacob Misiorowski, who pitched five scoreless innings. On June 13th, Freddy Peralta pitched six innings of one-run ball as the Brewers held on for a 3-2 victory.

Going into today's game, the Brewers were favored with moneyline odds of -121, implying a 54.8% chance of winning, while the Cardinals were listed as underdogs at +101, giving them an implied win probability of 49.8%. The over/under for the game was set at 8 runs.

Jose Quintana took the mound for the Brewers. While his season ERA stands at a solid 2.66, some analysts suggested he might be due for regression, pointing to an expected ERA (xERA) of 3.86 and rankings in the bottom half of the league in several metrics. Andre Pallante started for the Cardinals. Pallante entered the game with a 4-3 record.

Several players on both sides were identified as potential impact factors. For the Cardinals, Brendan Donovan leads the team with a .310 batting average, while Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras each have eight home runs. For the Brewers, William Contreras and Rhys Hoskins were highlighted as players who have performed well against Pallante in the past.

The Brewers have been strong at home this season, with a record of 22-14. Conversely, the Cardinals have struggled, losing their last six games.

Looking at recent trends, the Cardinals have seen eight or more total runs scored in 10 of their past 16 games.

Going into the game, the Brewers have won 24 of 35 games in which they have been favored. The Cardinals have won 21 of 39 games in which they have been the underdog.