The India vs. England Test match at Edgbaston, Birmingham, has reached a critical juncture, with India needing seven wickets to win and level the series 1-1. However, the weather forecast for the final day, July 6, 2025, indicates that rain could play a significant role, potentially disrupting India's chances of securing a historic victory.
As of Sunday morning, Birmingham is experiencing light rain, with a 100% chance of precipitation. The weather forecast suggests a high probability of rain in the morning, which could delay the start of play. According to BBC Weather, there is a 90% chance of rain at 9 AM, one hour before the scheduled start of play. This means the ground staff will be working hard to ensure as much play as possible. The chance of rain decreases to 65% at 10 AM and continues to fall in the following hours.
AccuWeather predicts possible morning showers and wind gusts up to 50 km/h. Temperatures may dip to 20°C, with another overcast morning expected, potentially delaying play until after lunch. The UK Met Office predicts heavy rain changing to overcast conditions by lunchtime, with rainfall chances falling below 10% after 3 PM.
The weather conditions favor India's bowling attack, with low temperatures and cloud cover expected throughout the day. The overcast conditions and temperatures below 20 degrees Celsius will aid India's fast bowlers. India will also be hoping to use the second new ball, which could be key to their success, as it was in the first innings.
If rain shortens the play, England could use the limited overs to push for a draw, which would be their best possible outcome given the current match situation. Some observers suggest that Shubman Gill's declaration on Day 4 might have been too late, considering the weather forecast. If the match starts after lunch, it would give England strong hope of drawing the game.
Despite the gloomy weather forecast, there is optimism that the final four hours of play will proceed uninterrupted, giving India a chance to seal a late win if they can squeeze in enough overs. The weather is expected to improve as the day progresses, with rain probability dropping to 22% by 1 PM. India will be hoping that the ground staff in Birmingham are well-prepared to prevent any delays due to a wet outfield and maximize their chances of taking the remaining wickets.
