The Columbus Blue Jackets find themselves in a precarious position as the 2025-26 NHL season approaches its midpoint. Despite preseason aspirations of a playoff berth and a strong start being emphasized, the team is currently struggling to stay in contention. Several factors have contributed to the Blue Jackets' underwhelming performance, leaving their playoff hopes hanging by a thread.
One of the most glaring issues has been the team's inability to hold onto leads, particularly in the third period. On nine separate occasions, the Blue Jackets have entered the final frame with a lead, only to lose or secure an overtime win, resulting in a significant loss of potential points. Six of these blown leads were by two goals. This inability to close out games is reflected in their NHL-worst minus-21 goal differential in the third period. Alternate captain Zach Werenski pointed to schematic breakdowns and a shift in mindset as potential causes for these collapses. Werenski noted a tendency to revert to simpler, less creative plays when protecting a lead, which often leads to turnovers and lost offensive opportunities.
Another concerning trend is the decline in offensive production compared to last season. While the Blue Jackets boasted a top-ten offense in the previous year, scoring an average of 3.26 goals per game, their scoring rate has dropped to 2.90 goals per game this season, ranking them 21st in the league. While players are creating scoring chances, they struggle to convert them into goals. Several players have experienced a dip in production, including Kent Johnson, who has seen a significant decrease in points compared to his performance last season. The lack of consistent secondary scoring behind the top line has further compounded the issue.
In addition to offensive struggles and third-period woes, the Blue Jackets' performance within their own division has been a significant detriment. Their record against Metropolitan Division opponents is 2-6-2, highlighting their struggles against teams they are directly competing with for playoff spots. With the Metropolitan Division being highly competitive, these losses have made it difficult for the Blue Jackets to gain ground in the standings.
Despite these challenges, there are glimmers of hope for the Blue Jackets. Their road record has improved compared to last season. Furthermore, the team's ability to earn points in games that extend beyond regulation has kept them afloat, with a 4-1 record in shootouts. However, significant improvements are needed in several key areas if the Blue Jackets hope to turn their season around and secure a playoff berth. Addressing their third-period struggles, boosting offensive production, and improving their record against divisional opponents will be crucial for the team's success in the remaining half of the season.
