The Nashville Predators find themselves in a perplexing situation as the 2026 NHL trade deadline approaches. Despite a surge in performance over the past six weeks, which has seen them climb from the lower ranks to within striking distance of a playoff spot, the team is still expected to be sellers.
Nashville's recent 16-8-0 run since late November has boosted morale and ignited hope among players like Michael McCarron, who believe that continued success can sway management to keep the group together. However, General Manager Barry Trotz appears to be taking a more pragmatic approach, analyzing underlying data that suggests the Predators' playoff chances are around 24%, with a minimal 0.1% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.
The Predators' position in the "mushy middle" is considered a precarious one, as Trotz recognizes the need to build for the future. This strategy involves potentially parting ways with key players to acquire assets that can contribute to the team's long-term success.
Several players have emerged as potential trade candidates. Steven Stamkos and Jonathan Marchessault are among the top names on the trade watch lists. However, moving these players may prove difficult if the Predators aren't willing to retain a portion of their salaries. Stamkos carries an $8 million AAV for the next two years, while Marchessault has a $5.5 million AAV for three years. Both players also possess No Movement Clauses, adding another layer of complexity to any potential deal. Stamkos seems content in Nashville, making a trade unlikely unless a significant offer is made that he approves.
Other players who could be on the move include Ryan O'Reilly, Erik Haula, Michael Bunting, Nick Blankenburg, Michael McCarron, and Cole Smith. Haula, Blankenburg, McCarron, and Smith are all unrestricted free agents in the upcoming offseason, making them attractive rental options for teams seeking to bolster their rosters for a playoff push.
The Predators' recent winning streak has complicated the decision-making process for Trotz. The team's performance has increased the trade value of some players, but it has also made it more difficult to part with valuable contributors. Trotz has stated that he will consult with veteran players like O'Reilly before making any trades, indicating a desire to maintain a level of respect and transparency throughout the process.
Despite the team's improved play, the organization is preparing for a necessary, albeit painful, pivot. The Predators are unlikely to engage in a "firesale" but will actively listen to offers for several players. The team's performance in the 11 games leading up to the Olympic break, and the five games afterward before the trade deadline on March 6th, will likely determine the extent of the Predators' activity at the deadline.
