Oakmont Country Club is set to host the 2025 U.S. Open, and the anticipation is building around who will emerge victorious from what's expected to be a punishing test of golf. Experts are weighing in with their predictions, analyzing the odds, and identifying potential favorites and sleepers in the field.
The Favorites
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the clear betting favorite heading into the tournament. His odds reflect his dominant form this year, including a recent victory at the PGA Championship. Scheffler's consistency and all-around game make him a formidable contender, and many believe Oakmont's challenging layout will suit his strengths. Jessica Marksbury from Golf.com stated, "Scottie is back in alpha mode, and a U.S. Open at Oakmont — golf's toughest test on the game's toughest course — will identify the most complete player as champion. That's Scottie."
Defending U.S. Open champion Bryson DeChambeau is also among the top favorites. His power and aggressive approach could be advantageous at Oakmont, particularly if he can keep his ball in play. While some experts are fading DeChambeau, others believe his U.S. Open record and recent form in majors make him a strong contender for a repeat victory. Nick Piastowski from Golf.com is predicting a DeChambeau repeat, saying, "With high rough, give me the guy who's hitting wedges into the greens."
Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm are consistently mentioned among the top contenders. McIlroy, with a Masters win already this year, is looking to add another major to his resume. Rahm, a former U.S. Open champion, has the experience and skill to contend at Oakmont. However, some models predict McIlroy to struggle and fall out of the top five, citing concerns about his recent form.
Xander Schauffele, fresh off his PGA Championship victory, is another player to watch. He has an impressive record in U.S. Open tournaments, with consistent high finishes. Experts believe that if Schauffele can find his groove with his driver, he has as good a chance as anybody to win.
Sleeper Picks and Longshots
While the favorites are garnering much of the attention, several sleeper picks and longshots could surprise.
Collin Morikawa is a popular pick among experts. His accuracy off the tee and precision iron play are well-suited for Oakmont's demanding layout. Jack Hirsh from Golf.com notes that "Guys who hit it straight off the tee and in the proper place on the greens will do well at Oakmont. Morikawa fits the bill."
Justin Rose, with odds around +8500, is seen as a potential value pick. He has a strong track record in Pennsylvania, including a major win at Merion.
Other longshots mentioned include Ben Griffin, Harris English, and Aaron Rai. Griffin is riding a hot streak, while English has a consistent record in U.S. Open appearances. Rai's accuracy off the tee could be a key asset at Oakmont.
Denny McCarthy is also highlighted as a sleeper pick, particularly if putting becomes a premium at Oakmont.
Expert Predictions and Models
Several models and experts are offering their predictions for the 2025 U.S. Open. SportsLine's computer model, which has a strong track record of predicting major winners, is high on Collin Morikawa and is also targeting several longshots with odds of 25-1 or longer.
The Course and Key Considerations
Oakmont Country Club is known for its challenging layout, with thick rough, fast greens, and treacherous bunkers. Accuracy off the tee, precision iron play, and strong putting will be crucial for success. The course is expected to play firm and fast, further increasing the difficulty.
Conclusion
The 2025 U.S. Open promises to be a compelling event, with a strong field of contenders vying for the title at the challenging Oakmont Country Club. While Scottie Scheffler and Bryson DeChambeau are the favorites, several other players, including Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, and Collin Morikawa, have the potential to contend. Keep an eye on sleeper picks like Justin Rose and Denny McCarthy, who could surprise.
