Sweden and Slovenia are set to clash in a World Cup qualifying match on Tuesday, November 18, 2025, at Friends Arena. With both teams out of contention for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this match offers an opportunity to salvage some pride and end their qualifying campaign on a positive note.
The Stakes
Neither Sweden nor Slovenia has had a successful World Cup qualifying campaign. Sweden, under the guidance of Graham Potter, has struggled, losing their most recent match 4-1 against Switzerland. Slovenia also faced defeat, losing 2-0 to Kosovo. With little to play for in terms of World Cup qualification, both teams will be aiming to finish strong and build momentum for future competitions. At most, third place in the group is at stake.
How to Watch
The match between Sweden and Slovenia kicks off at 19:45 GMT on Tuesday, November 18, 2025. In the UK, the game is not televised.
Form and Recent Performances
Sweden's recent form has been poor, with four consecutive losses. In their last six matches across all competitions, they managed only one win, one draw, and four losses, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 1.83 on average. Their home form, however, shows some improvement, with averages of 13.67 shots and 4.67 on target in their last three home games. Historically, Sweden has a strong home record in World Cup Qualifiers, winning 69% of their last 13 home matches.
Slovenia's form has been inconsistent, with a tendency for draws. They are winless in their last five World Cup qualifying matches. In all competitions, 55% of their last 20 matches have ended in a draw. Their away form is also a concern, as they are winless in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
Historical Context
Sweden has a favorable record against Slovenia, with two wins and three draws in their previous five encounters. Their most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw. Sweden has not lost at home to Slovenia in their head-to-head matchups.
Prediction
Given both teams' struggles in the qualifying campaign, a draw seems a likely outcome. Both teams have been ineffective in front of goal, suggesting a low-scoring match. A 0-0 draw is a possible result.
Betting Odds
Sweden is favored to win at 8/15, while Slovenia's chances of winning are at 11/2. The odds for a draw are 3/1.
Key Statistics and Trends
- Sweden has lost four matches in a row.
- Slovenia has drawn three of their last five matches.
- Sweden averages two goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game.
- Slovenia averages 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded per game.
- Under 2.5 goals is a likely outcome, considering both teams' recent performances.
